Monday, September 28, 2009

Foreclosures on the second wind



After a flurry of foreclosures over the last 18 months the fallout from toxic subprime loans has started to wain. Foreclosure investments all the rage have impacted REO portfolios held by banks to just under 900k. This fact does not note the second wave of foreclosures to hit the market between 2009 to 2011 expected to be around 4 million.

The reason for the second waive of REO and Foreclosures is the adjustable rate prime mortgages structures on 3, 5, 7 and 10 year fixed periods after which may reset into substantially larger payments based on 1 - 2 percent rate increases or balloon forcing an accelerated payment. While mortgage backed securities typically utilized a 3% default rate for valuations some lenders are finding 12% of their portfolios in some stage of delinquency or foreclosure.

The office of the Thrift Supervision and the Controller of Currency released a 3rd quarter report putting a scare into the already fragile housing market illustrating new findings. The report, which covers the third quarter of the year, was the second such indication of the effectiveness -- or lack thereof -- of new efforts at foreclosure mitigation. It examined the portfolios of nine national banks and five thrifts, including JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM), Citigroup (NYSE: C), Bank of America (NYSE: BAC), Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC), and First Horizon (NYSE: FHN), representing more than 60% of all U.S. mortgages outstanding.

As detailed in the report, the first since the initial tabulation was put out in June, new foreclosure initiatives actually fell by 2.6% to 281,298 in the September quarter (largely due to mortgage relief programs). But a perhaps more important metric, foreclosures completed, increased by 8%, while the total number of foreclosures in process rose by 11% to 617,642.

There was also a disturbing new trend in the report released by Comptroller of the Currency John C. Dugan: More than half of the mortgages modified in the first quarter to benefit struggling borrowers had fallen back into delinquency, once again more than 30 days past due by the end of September.

Real estate investments in the foreclosure and reo space are heating up. For more information on Foreclosure investments contact Stone Equity Group

1 comment:

  1. Recently the economy hasn't been prospering as much as everybody would like. As a result, many people are finding it hard to pay off some of their loans. With payments overwhelming the population, there is an American home mortgage servicing inc reducing foreclosures. Homeward is one of the few lenders doing its best to lower foreclosure rates.

    ReplyDelete